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to break permanently into the American market for such equipment. If we did
not place the order for the F 111 now, these arrangements would be at risk and it would moreover be open to the Americans to propose an increase in the price of the aircraft; the United States Administration would be under strong political pressure to do so as present arrangements were widely regarded in the United States as unduly favourable to us. Although the Americans were
having difficulty in developing the aircraft to meet their full specification,
our requirements were more limited than theirs and he had that day received from the United States Secretary of Defense (Mr. McNamara) the assurances
that he had sought about the production specification of the aircraft that we
would receive. We should therefore confirm the order for the F 111.
}
In discussion the view was expressed that we should attempt to delay ordering the F 111 until the further defence studies were completed so that
this large element in our forward defence programme could be seen in its full
context. Although it might be that we should then decide that the aircraft
was required, this should not be assumed in advance, Changes in our role in
the Far East might have to be so radical that we would not need the F 111 or that we could reduce the size of the planned order. Although the Americans
might seek to increase the price of the aircraft if we delayed placing the
order, there would be good reason why they would not press the point since
they were particularly keen that we should purchase the aircraft. One
possibility that ought to be considered was the linking of the discussions
with the Americans on the F 111 and the offset arrangements for it to the offset problen in Germany.
On the other hand it was urged that it was difficult to foresee
circumstances in which we could do without the capability provided by the
F 111, particularly during a period of phased withdrawal from the bases in
the Far East which was the post likely course of events. The total order of
50 was moreover the minimum that was operationally acceptable if we were to
have it at all. Nor was it easy to see what explanation could be given to
the Americans at this stage for delay in placing the order for the aircraft;
this would not merely involve considerable risk to the offset arrangements
and the price of the aircraft, but it would also involve alerting them prematurely to the possibilities that we were considering about our deployment
in the Far East. We had deliberately sought to avoid doing so until we
were in a position to make specific proposals. As regards the possibility
of linking the F 111 order to the problem of overseas costs of our forces
in Germany, or to even wider arrangements, it was impossible to see where
such a course might lead and it would certainly involve delay to both aspects
which would be likely to be damaging. We might in consequence well find
that the existing F 111 offset arrangements, including part of the
Saudi Arabian sales which had yet to be finalised, would be lost.
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